Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 13.275965 15.011165 17.020825 19.553856 22.710966 26.586557 31.820739
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 11.628470 13.853678 16.658970 20.566740 26.068807 33.893350 46.637834
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 9.980554 12.224247 15.186211 19.555150 26.180268 36.558325 55.936163
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.068377 11.366609 14.521510 19.414860 27.358317 41.030590 70.555798
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.323470 10.620942 13.872923 19.125623 28.153931 45.046188 87.045352
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.786358 10.095606 13.456164 19.092433 29.326688 50.161600 110.723265
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.405581 9.749202 13.252122 19.349409 31.058801 57.164338 148.651231
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.903681 9.175376 12.628488 18.784323 31.052605 60.182782 178.038780
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.576462 8.835974 12.337782 18.757170 32.131975 66.494435 236.263727
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.158532 8.325959 11.722678 18.051561 31.591371 68.117535 275.133170
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.730564 7.774483 10.997867 17.059703 30.227664 66.789461 292.821627
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.383779 7.331756 10.424948 16.301274 29.283530 66.519277 321.904411
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.534348 7.698706 11.271335 18.468696 36.062013 98.268642 1147.038384
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.462031 7.699264 11.483582 19.403883 40.152708 126.274239 5622.840560
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.135670 7.258322 10.866460 18.476838 38.703837 125.693856 9436.935124
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.944947 7.033396 10.625829 18.348185 39.622272 139.894177 380335.382050
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.752429 6.794302 10.340542 18.082764 40.059328 152.330492 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.604391 6.622523 10.167629 18.052295 41.265418 172.847294 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.498842 6.517393 10.111851 18.288138 43.477389 207.579857 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.314562 6.266489 9.759313 17.769338 42.862766 215.488608 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.197422 6.127494 9.614951 17.744392 44.095564 247.858086 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.020366 5.875676 9.235319 17.095572 42.772397 246.911184 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.823826 5.583225 8.763505 16.181683 40.260085 227.352201 NaN